Tag Archives: NFL Week 15

NFL Week 15 Picks

Three weeks left in the season and the Philadelphia Eagles are in sole possession of first place in the NFC East—and the Dallas Cowboys look like a complete mess. Welcome to Week 15 everyone! Last week, I continued to be dominant on Thursday nights (15-1 on the season) and went 12-4 for the week, lifting the overall total to 133-74. That puts me behind only Chris Carter (134) and KC Joyner (139) over at ESPN.

Oh, and the Jacksonville Jaguars CONTINUE to remain “in the hunt” for a playoff spot.

Let’s pick some games.

San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos, Thursday, 8:25pm

Comment of the week goes to Peyton Manning who told reporters who were still trying to pursue the cold-weather-struggles story that they could “shove it where the sun don’t shine.” If the Broncos third 50-point performance of the season wasn’t enough, this week he’ll have the opportunity to go for back-to-back 50-point games against a defense that gives up the fifth most passing yards per game (266.7), and only ranks 28th overall. The only potential problem here is that Denver’s defense has been just as bad this season, giving up the fourth most passing yards (274.3) and is only ranked 25th overall. Expect a shootout, but, contrary to the popular perspective here, I’m a fan of Manning in the cold weather, and at home. Broncos win 45-33

Philadelphia Eagles @ Minnesota Vikings, 1pm

I hate this game for a couple of reasons. 1) The Vikings’ 3-9-1 record can be deceiving. For one, those three wins all came at home and against some interesting—though not completely scary—opponents (Pittsburgh, Washington, Chicago), and over their last three games they’ve played some tough games (Green Bay sans-Rodgers, Chicago, and Baltimore), and were in every single one of them—they went 1-1-1 in that stretch, including that B’more game with the ridiculous ending last week. 2) There’s even a slight chance that Adrian Peterson might be able to give it a go, and, despite the way this defense has played over the last month and a half, he scares me. 3) Cordarrelle Patterson. 4) The Tuesday night game is still fresh in my head for some reason. All that aside, this is a team that, with their firepower on offense, the Eagles should be able to handle. Going with my head, heart, and gut on this one. Eagles win 34-17

Washington Redskins @ Atlanta Falcons, 1pm

Both teams suck. RG3-10 might be benched, which could offer a bit of a spark for a team that has 53 men all playing for their jobs moving forward at this point. On the other side, Atlanta has been by and large one of the biggest disappointments this year (topped only by Houston), but they’ll get to face a defense that is equally as bad as they are against the pass—Washington ranks 31st in opposing QB passer rating (101.2) to Atlanta’s 32nd (104.3). No matter what QB gets the start for DC, I just like Atlanta at home in this week’s Toilet Bowl game. Falcons win 20-13

Chicago Bears @ Cleveland Browns, 1pm

As impressive as the Bears looked last week, scoring on every single drive with the exception of their last one when they kneeled the ball, it has to be said that it was against a Dallas defense that has been well below-average this season. This week they’ll travel to Cleveland to take on a Browns team that has been extremely impressive on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just over 320 yards a game, 7th overall (the same can’t be said about the offense, obviously). Don’t look over the fact that it was basically a questionable pass interference call that did them in agains the 10-3 Patriots on the road a week ago. Their defense could easily keep them in this one perhaps even win it. Let’s gamble. Browns win 27-24

Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts, 1pm

This one should help Andrew Luck and the Colts get back on track. Oh, and did anyone notice that at 8-5 and after a loss this week, the Colts managed to lock up the AFC South? Congrats? Colts win 21-10

New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins, 1pm

At 7-6, Miami remains outside of the AFC Wild Card race as a result of a tie breaker with the Baltimore Ravens. They’ve managed to pull themselves back into the conversation, however, thanks to a 5-2 record over their last seven. The Pats have home field advantage throughout in their sights, which could be huge if a rematch against Peyton is in the cards. I’ll take that, and New England’s seven-game winning streak over the Dolphins. Besides, it seems like the Pats have the NFL in their pockets the way their last few have gone. They might not lose again the rest of the way. Pats win 30-21

Seattle Seahawks @ New York Giants, 1pm

I don’t like the idea of Seattle traveling cross country—some of their closest games, that still resulted in wins came out East against the likes of Tampa Bay, Carolina (before people knew they were legit), and Tennessee. Still, I also don’t like the idea of them dropping two in a row. The Giants’ hopes of a playoff berth are fading quickly, and Eli hasn’t been able to shake the turnover bug all season long. None of those things bode well against a defense that ranks 3rd in interceptions (17). Seahawks win 28-24

San Francisco 49ers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 1pm

The Tampa Bay story has been an awesome one, but at this point in the season, certain teams are fighting for their playoff lives, and that outweighs whatever it is the Bucs are playing for. 49ers win 30-14

Buffalo Bills @ Jacksonvilles Jaguars, 1pm

I’m sorry, but I’m riding that Jags train. They own the longest winning streak in the AFC (3 games) and STILL have a chance at making the playoffs. Keep it going, Gus! Jags win 24-23

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders, 4:05pm

It’s a hell of an end to the season for the Oakland Raiders, having to take on all three of their AFC West foes—all of whom have their sights set on the playoffs. It starts this week with a home game against the Chiefs who were able to snap their three-game skid with a road win against the hapless Skins. Oakland has been a team that has shown fight this year—beating the Steelers at home, holding their own against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving—but they’ve also shown how easily they can fold—the 7TD game they gave up to Foles, and a loss to the Jets, yes, those Jets. A loss in their last three shows zero improvement over last years 4-12 record. Chiefs win 23-14

New York Jets @ Carolina Panthers, 4:05pm

Sorry, but there’s no way that Geno Smith gets out of this game, against a PO’d Panthers D coming off of a humbling loss, with his life let alone a W. Panthers win 30-13

Green Bay Packers @ Dallas Cowboys, 4:25pm

With the news that Aaron Rodgers is unlikely to play on Sunday, this one gets a bit more difficult to pick. My heart wants the Packers to pull this one out so the Eagles have the opportunity to go up 2 games on Dallas with two weeks remaining. My head tells me that they’ll still have a shot, because Dallas’s defense has been exceptionally horrendous over the last six games (32.2 pts and 465.3 yds/g), but that Matt Flynn will struggle to keep pace with Tony Romo. I’m gonna chalk it up to this: Momentum—something I’ve openly said I’m not a huge believer in. The Dallas D gave up points in every single Bears’ offensive possession last week, and Matt Flynn showed his ability to orchestrate a 4th quarter comeback and game-winning drive. (Hey, I gotta make up games somewhere here.) Packers win 27-26

Arizona Cardinals @ Tennessee Titans, 4:25pm

Same deal as with the Niners and Bucs game above. One team still has a fleeting hope of making the postseason. The other is on the outside looking in. It’d be a huge win, mentally, for the Titans, but the Cards have too much on the line to let this one fall through their fingers, especially if the ageless wonder—John Abraham, who was awarded NFC Defensive Player of the Week honors—has something to say about it. Cards win 28-21

New Orleans Saints @ St. Louis Rams, 4:25pm

Psshhhh. Who dat? Saints win 42-17

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:25pm

The Steelers were a pinky toe away from an absolutely INCREDIBLE finish against the Miami Dolphins last week. Instead, they’re playoff hopes are quickly fading. Cincy, on the flip side, appears to be surging on the strength of their defense and two 40-point outbursts in the last three weeks. Interesting historical head-to-head stat though: Pittsburgh hasn’t lost more than two in a row to the Bengals in over 20 years (they dropped six straight from 1988-90), and they’ve only lost at home to Cincy twice in the last 7 years. I’ll take those odds. Steelers win 23-21

Baltimore Ravens @ Detroit Lions, Monday, 8:30pm

Both of these teams are probably overjoyed to be playing in the cozy confines of a dome after some rough weather last week, which saw the Lions prolific offense only manage to put up 6 points, while the Ravens struggled all day and then exploded for three touchdowns in the final two minutes (one of those came of special teams). Struggling late in games has been a theme all season long for both of these squads though—the Ravens have had 10 of their 13 contests have been decided by one possession (they’re 5-5 in those games), while the Lions have dropped three of their last four, but held leads in the fourth quarter in those three losses. These teams could easily be wrapping up their divisions or be comfortably in the playoff picture by now. Instead, they’re both fighting for their playoff lives, which makes this Monday night game a fantastic one to say the least. For me, this one’s going to come down to who can be more successful at creating the Big Play, and, conversely, not giving up the Big Play. To the latter point, both teams struggle at stopping the homerun ball—Baltimore and Detroit rank 32nd and 31st respectively at 40+ yard plays allowed (16 and 14). Meanwhile, Detroit (10) trails Baltimore (13) in 40+ yard plays. I guess that makes it a coin flip, but I think I like Megatron in a dome more than Jacoby Jones—plus Reggie Bush should be back for this one. Lions win 35-30