Tampa Bay Had a 100% Win Probability With 38 Seconds Left

tb nyj win prob

As so beautifully displayed in the chart above, courtesy of Pro Football Reference, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had a 100% win probability with just 38 seconds left in their game against the New York Jets today. That means the Jets had a zero (0, nil, none, nada) percent chance of opening the season 1-0. But the Jets did win. And this play is the reason why:

Lavonte David won’t forget about that one anytime soon. In a post game interview he said he thought Jets Rookie QB Geno Smith was still in bounds when he shoved him. “I wouldn’t have hit him if I thought he wasn’t going to stay in bounds,” David said, via Rick Stroud of the Tampa Bay Times via ProFootballTalk. “They said he was out of a bounds so the guy called the flag. To me, he was in bounds.”

It doesn’t matter how soft the shove was or how close Smith was to the sideline or if he actually was in bounds. That play is going to get called every time in this day and age. Pure stupidity. And, more importantly, it cost me a pick this week.

Thanks, LaVonte. Jackass.

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